Trends and projections of age-appropriate vaccination coverage in 41 low- and middle- income countries in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, 2000-2030.

Journal: Frontiers in public health

Volume: 12

Issue: 

Year of Publication: 2024

Affiliated Institutions:  Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo, Japan. Research Centre for Child Mental Development, Hamamatsu University School of Medicine, Hamamatsu, Japan. Division of Prevention, Institute for Cancer Control, National Cancer Center Japan, Tokyo, Japan. Department of Epidemiology and Health Care Atlas, Central Research Institute of Ambulatory Health Care, Berlin, Germany. Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Abstract summary 

Routine immunization programs have focused on increasing vaccination coverage, which is equally important for decreasing vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs), particularly in low- and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs). We estimated the trends and projections of age-appropriate vaccination coverage at the regional and national levels, as well as place of residence and wealth index in LMICs.In total, 174 nationally representative household surveys from 2000 to 2020 from 41 LMICs were included in this study. Bayesian hierarchical regression models were used to estimate trends and projections of age-appropriate vaccination.The trend in coverage of age-appropriate Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG), third dose of diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis (DTP3), third dose of polio (polio3), and measles-containing vaccine (MCV) increased rapidly from 2000 to 2020 in LMICs. Findings indicate substantial increases at the regional and national levels, and by area of residence and socioeconomic status between 2000 and 2030. The largest rise was observed in East Africa, followed by South and Southeast Asia. However, out of the 41 countries, only 10 countries are estimated to achieve 90% coverage of the BCG vaccine by 2030, five of DTP3, three of polio3, and none of MCV. Additionally, by 2030, wider pro-urban and -rich inequalities are expected in several African countries.Significant progress in age-appropriate vaccination coverage has been made in LMICs from 2000 to 2020. Despite this, projections show many countries will not meet the 2030 coverage goals, with persistent urban-rural and socioeconomic disparities. Therefore, LMICs must prioritize underperforming areas and reduce inequalities through stronger health systems and increased community engagement to ensure high coverage and equitable vaccine access.

Authors & Co-authors:  Islam Md Rashedul MR Rahman Md Mizanur MM Rahman Md Shafiur MS Abe Sarah Krull SK Akmatov Manas K MK Hashizume Masahiro M

Study Outcome 

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Statistics
Citations :  Wang H, Bhutta ZA, Coates MM, Coggeshall M, Dandona L, Diallo K, et al. . Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2015. Lancet. (2016) 388:1725–74. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31575-6, PMID:
Authors :  6
Identifiers
Doi : 1371258
SSN : 2296-2565
Study Population
Male,Female
Mesh Terms
Humans
Other Terms
Bayesian model;VPDs;age-appropriate childhood vaccination;coverage;projection;trends
Study Design
Study Approach
Country of Study
Publication Country
Switzerland