Estimating the number of people living with dementia at different stages of the condition in India: A Delphi process.

Journal: Dementia (London, England)

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Affiliated Institutions:  Faculty of Health, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK. Strengthening Responses to Dementia in Developing Countries (STRiDE) India, National Institute of Mental Health and Neuro-Sciences (NIMHANS), Bangalore, India. Department of Psychiatry and Mental Health, University of Cape Town, South Africa. Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

Abstract summary 

Numerous studies have previously estimated the dementia prevalence in India. However, as these estimates use different methodologies and sampling strategies, generating definitive prevalence estimates can be difficult.A Delphi process involving eight clinical and academic experts provided prevalence estimates of dementia within India, split by sex and age. The experts were also asked to estimate the number of people potentially living at different stages of the condition. A priori criteria were used to ascertain the point in which consensus was achieved.Our consensus estimates generated a dementia prevalence of 2.8% (95% CI = 1.9 to 3.6) for those aged 60 years and above in India. Consensus was achieved across age and sex prevalence estimates, with the exception of one (females aged 60-64). Our experts estimated that 42.9% of people living with dementia in India had a mild severity.The findings indicate that there could be approximately 3.9 million people living with dementia in India, of which 1.7 million could be living with dementia of mild severity. Such estimates can better help researchers and policy makers to estimate the true cost and impact of dementia in India and can inform resource allocation decisions.

Authors & Co-authors:  Farina Nicolas N Rajagopalan Jayeeta J Alladi Suvarna S Ibnidris Aliaa A Ferri Cleusa P CP Knapp Martin M Comas-Herrera Adelina A

Study Outcome 

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Statistics
Citations : 
Authors :  7
Identifiers
Doi : 10.1177/14713012231181627
SSN : 1741-2684
Study Population
Male,Female
Mesh Terms
Other Terms
alzheimer’s disease;consensus;delphi;diagnosis;severity
Study Design
Cross Sectional Study
Study Approach
Country of Study
Publication Country
England