Predicting attitudinal and behavioral responses to COVID-19 pandemic using machine learning.

Journal: PNAS nexus

Volume: 1

Issue: 3

Year of Publication: 

Affiliated Institutions:  Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb, Croatia. Department of Psychology, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK. Department of Finance and Quantitative Methods, Gatton College of Business and Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA. Faculty of Medicine, Cooperative University of Colombia, Villavicencio, Meta, Colombia and Department of bioethics, El Bosque University, Bogotá D.C. Colombia. Department of Philosophy and Social Studies, University of Crete, Rethymnon, Crete, Greece. Department of Research and Development, Kozaca SA, Rosario, Santa Fe, Argentina. Direccion Academica Sede la Paz,Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede de La Paz, Cesar, Colombia. Department of Media and Communication, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong. Department of Economics, Institute of Security and Global Affairs, Leiden University, The Hague, Netherlands. School of Human Sciences, University of Greenwich, London, UK. Department of Philosophy, School of Economics and Finance, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK. Department of Economics, Middlesex University London, London, UK. Department of Psychiatry, Pontifical Xavierian University, Bogotá, Colombia. Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. Latin American Brain Health Institute (BrainLat), Universidad Adolfo Ibañez, Santiago, Peñalolén, Chile. Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. Department of Business Administration, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm, Sweden. Department of Sociology, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia. Department of Experimental and Applied Psychology, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Departamento de Matemática y Ciencias, Universidad de San Andres, Victoria, Buenos Aires, Argentina. Department of Management, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark. Department of Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia. School of Psychology, University of Kent, Canterbury, UK. Stanford Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA. Department of Philosophy, Macquarie University, Macquarie Park, New South Wales, Australia. Department of Strategy and Management, Norwegian School of Economics, Bergen, Norway. Institute of Psychology, Center for Climate Action and Social Transformations, SWPS, University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Warsaw, Poland. Institute of Psychology, SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Warsaw, Poland. Centre for Human Brain Health,School of Psychology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. Centre for Sociological Research, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Leuven, Belgium. Faculty of Psychology, Higher School of Economics University, Moscow, Russia. Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Department of Psychology, Sunway University, Petaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia. Department of Psychology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Republic of South Africa. Department of Political Science, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark. Department of Psychology, Toronto Metropolitan University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Department of Psychology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Department of Mass Communication, National University of Science and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Islamabad Capital Territory, Pakistan. Department of Psychology, University of Greenwich, London, UK. Institute of European Studies and International Relations, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Comenius University, Bratislava, Slovakia. Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Skopje, Republic of North Macedonia. Department of Sociology, Social Work and Public Health, University of Huelva, Huelva, Spain. Department of Decision Analytics and Risk, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK. Department of Educational and Counselling Psychology, BRAC Institute of Educational and Development, BRAC University, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Department of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel. Rotterdam Institute of Law and Economics (RILE), Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands. Department of Communication Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Kieskompas (Election Compass), Amsterdam, Netherlands. Department of Digital Humanities, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. Department of Cognition, Emotion, and Methods in Psychology, University of Vienna, Wien, Austria. Department of Neuroscience and Biomedical Engineering, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland. School of Psychology, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico. Department of Economics, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan. HEMS School, Kathmandu, Nepal. Department of Leadership and Organizational Behaviour, BI Norwegian Business School, Oslo, Norway. Institute of Security and Global Affairs, Leiden University, The Hague, Netherlands. Department of Psychology, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland. Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. Department of Management, University of Agder, Kristiansand, Norway. Department of Psychology, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA, USA. Department of Psychology, Monk Prayogshala, Powai, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India. Department of Social and Behavioral Science, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Jena, Germany. Department of Management, Technology, and Economics, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland. Chair of Development Economics,University of Bayreuth, Bayreuth, Germany. Department of Sociology, National School for Political and Administrative Studies (SNSPA), Bucharest, Romania. Department of Psychiatry and Medical Psychology, Medical University, Plovdiv, Bulgaria. Division of Translational Neuroscience, Medical University, Plovdiv, Bulgaria. Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Management, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India. Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade, Serbia. School of Economics and Finance and Centre for Behavioural Economics, Society and Technology (BEST), Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane City, Queensland, Australia. Department of Psychology, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, UK. Department of Political Science, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan. Faculty of Political Science, National University of Political Studies and Public Administration, Bucharest, Romania. Psychology Department, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia. Department of Psychology, New York University, New York, NY, USA. School of Psychology, Speech, and Hearing, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand. School of Economics and Management, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin, China. School of Collective Intelligence, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, Ben Guerir, Morocco. Department of Psychology, Jose Rizal University, Mandaluyong, Metro Manila, Philippines. Department of Economics, Telenor Research, Fornebu, Norway. Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal. School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá, Colombia. Melbourne School of Psychological Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Faculty of Historical and Pedagogical Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Wroclaw, Poland. IMT School for Advanced Studies, Lucca, Italy. Laboratory for Psychology of Social Inequality, Higher School of Economics University, Moscow, Russia. Department of Economics and Management, University of Florence, Florence, Italy. Department of Management, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. Department of Marketing, TBS Education, Toulouse, France. The Institute for Sociology, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Bratislava, Slovakia. Department of Psychology, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianopolis, Brazil. Department of Economics, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy. IUSS Cognitive Neuroscience Center, University School for Advanced Studies, Pavia, Italy. Central Department of Population Studies, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal. School of Psychology, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China. Department of Marketing, Darden School of Business, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA. MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre,Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse, Université Toulouse Capitole, Toulouse Cedex , France. Faculty of Medicine, Pontifical Xavierian University, Bogotá, Colombia. U.O. Rho, Fondazione Luigi Clerici, Rho, Italy. School of Psychology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. Department of Trade and Market Institutions, Cracow University of Economics, Kraków, Poland. Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Department of Psychology, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada. Department of Psychology, University of California - Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA. Department of Psychology, Université Rennes , Rennes, France. Department of Communication Science, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Université Clermont Auvergne LAPSCO, CNRS, Clermont-Ferrand, France. UBC Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. Teacher Education Department, Cavite State University, General Trias, Cavite, Philippines. School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane City, Queensland, Australia. Faculty of Education, Psychology and Art, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia. Kieskompas (Election Compass), Amsterdam, Netherlands and Department of Political Science & Annenberg School for Communication, University of Pennsylvania, PA, USA. National Institute for the Intellectually Disabled and Autistic (NIIDA), Society for the Welfare of the Intellectually Disabled (SWID Bangladesh), Dhaka, Bangladesh. Department of Psychology, University of Münster, Münster, Germany. Department of Social Policy and Intervention, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Department of Media and Communications, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Medical School, Department of Psychiatry, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Republic of South Africa. Department of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. Department of Nursing, University of Huelva, Huelva, Spain. Department of Psychology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA. Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, College of Arts and Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA. Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany. Kyiv School of Economics, Kyiv, Ukraine. Department of Management and Engineering, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden. University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia. Department of Business and Media Psychology, Ansbach University of Applied Sciences, Ansbach, Germany. Department of Marketing, Boston University, Questrom School of Business, Boston, MA, USA. School of Psychology, Dublin City University, Dublin, Ireland. Pontifical Xavierian University, Bogotá, Colombia. Seele Neuroscience, Mexico City, Mexico. COIDESO-Research Center of Contemporary Thinking and Innovation for Social Development, University of Huelva, Huelva, Spain. School of Psychology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand. Faculty of Economics, Maria Curie Sklodowska University, Lublin, Poland. Department of Psychology, City University of New York (CUNY) Graduate Center, New York, NY, USA. Department of Psychology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. Australian National Centre for the Public Awareness of Science,Australian National University, Canberra ACT, Australia. Department of Psychology and Behavioral Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China. Department for Political Behavior, Centre for Social Sciences, Budapest, Hungary. Institute of Psychology, University of Silesia in Katowice, Katowice, Poland. Department of Computer Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. Department of Computer Science, Institute of Cognitive Science, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA. Centro de Ciências Biológicas e da Saúde,Mackenzie Presbyterian University, São Paul, Brazil. Department of Psychology & Neural Science, New York University, New York, NY, USA. Department of Biology, Biodiversity Unit, University of Turku, Turku, Finland. School of Psychology, Environmental Psychology Department, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico. Department of Humanities and Life Sciences, University School for Advanced Studies, Pavia, Italy. Department of Social Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Department of Global Economics and Management, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands. Department of Psychology, Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. PLS, ENS-Ulm, Department d'Etudes Cognitives, Paris, France. Social Psychology Department, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, UK. Department of Asian and International Studies, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong. Department of Psychology, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA, USA. Department of Social Psychology, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Jena, Germany. Department of Design, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium. Department of Behavioral Sciences and Learning, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden. Department of Psychology, University of Koblenz-Landau, Landau, Germany. Department of Speech Pathology and Audiology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Republic of South Africa. Institute of Psychology, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Torun, Poland. Rady School of Management, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA. Faculty of Arts and Science, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan. Department of Psychology, Kadir Has University, Fatih, Istanbul, Turkey. Department of Communication and Media Use, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Jena, Germany. Department of Psychology, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands. Faculty of Negotiations, Organizations and Markets, Harvard Business School, Boston, MA, USA. Department of Economics, Vidyasagar College For Women, Kolkata, West Bengal, India. Department of Public Administration and Sociology, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands. Impact For Development, Casablanca, Morocco. Department of Economics, Koc University, Sarıyer, Istanbul, Turkey. Hult International Business School, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Department of International Trade, Bogazici University, Besiktas, Istanbul, Turkey. Department of Psychological and Social Sciences, Penn State University Abington College, Abington, PA, USA.

Abstract summary 

At the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 became a global problem. Despite all the efforts to emphasize the relevance of preventive measures, not everyone adhered to them. Thus, learning more about the characteristics determining attitudinal and behavioral responses to the pandemic is crucial to improving future interventions. In this study, we applied machine learning on the multinational data collected by the International Collaboration on the Social and Moral Psychology of COVID-19 ( = 51,404) to test the predictive efficacy of constructs from social, moral, cognitive, and personality psychology, as well as socio-demographic factors, in the attitudinal and behavioral responses to the pandemic. The results point to several valuable insights. Internalized moral identity provided the most consistent predictive contribution-individuals perceiving moral traits as central to their self-concept reported higher adherence to preventive measures. Similar results were found for morality as cooperation, symbolized moral identity, self-control, open-mindedness, and collective narcissism, while the inverse relationship was evident for the endorsement of conspiracy theories. However, we also found a non-neglible variability in the explained variance and predictive contributions with respect to macro-level factors such as the pandemic stage or cultural region. Overall, the results underscore the importance of morality-related and contextual factors in understanding adherence to public health recommendations during the pandemic.

Authors & Co-authors:  Pavlović Azevedo De Riaño-Moreno Maglić Gkinopoulos Donnelly-Kehoe Payán-Gómez Huang Kantorowicz Birtel Schönegger Capraro Santamaría-García Yucel Ibanez Rathje Wetter Stanojević van Prooijen Hesse Elbaek Franc Pavlović Mitkidis Cichocka Gelfand Alfano Ross Sjåstad Nezlek Cislak Lockwood Abts Agadullina Amodio Apps Aruta Besharati Bor Choma Cunningham Ejaz Farmer Findor Gjoneska Gualda Huynh Imran Israelashvili Kantorowicz-Reznichenko Krouwel Kutiyski Laakasuo Lamm Levy Leygue Lin Mansoor Marie Mayiwar Mazepus McHugh Olsson Otterbring Packer Palomäki Perry Petersen Puthillam Rothmund Schmid Stadelmann Stoica Stoyanov Stoyanova Tewari Todosijević Torgler Tsakiris Tung Umbreș Vanags Vlasceanu Vonasch Zhang Abad Adler Mdarhri Antazo Ay Ba Barbosa Bastian Berg Białek Bilancini Bogatyreva Boncinelli Booth Borau Buchel de Carvalho Celadin Cerami Chalise Cheng Cian Cockcroft Conway Córdoba-Delgado Crespi Crouzevialle Cutler Cypryańska Dabrowska Davis Minda Dayley Delouvée Denkovski Dezecache Dhaliwal Diato Di Paolo Dulleck Ekmanis Etienne Farhana Farkhari Fidanovski Flew Fraser Frempong Fugelsang Gale García-Navarro Garladinne Gray Griffin Gronfeldt Gruber Halperin Herzon Hruška Hudecek Isler Jangard Jørgensen Keudel Koppel Koverola Kunnari Leota Lermer Li Longoni McCashin Mikloušić Molina-Paredes Monroy-Fonseca Morales-Marente Moreau Muda Myer Nash Nitschke Nurse de Mello Palacios-Galvez Pan Papp Pärnamets Paruzel-Czachura Perander Pitman Raza Rêgo Robertson Rodríguez-Pascual Saikkonen Salvador-Ginez Sampaio Santi Schultner Schutte Scott Skali Stefaniak Sternisko Strickland Thomas Tinghög Traast Tucciarelli Tyrala Ungson Uysal Van Rooy Västfjäll Vieira von Sikorski Walker Watermeyer Willardt Wohl Wójcik Wu Yamada Yilmaz Yogeeswaran Ziemer Zwaan Boggio Whillans Van Lange Prasad Onderco O'Madagain Nesh-Nash Laguna Kubin Gümren Fenwick Ertan Bernstein Amara Van Bavel

Study Outcome 

Source Link: Visit source

Statistics
Citations :  WHO . 2022. COVID-19 weekly epidemiological update. edn. 83. [accessed 2022 March 18].https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20220315_weekly_epi_update_83.pdf?sfvrsn=194a6d66_4&download=true.
Authors :  228
Identifiers
Doi : pgac093
SSN : 2752-6542
Study Population
Male,Female
Mesh Terms
Other Terms
COVID-19;hygiene;policy support;public health measures;social distancing
Study Design
Study Approach
Country of Study
Publication Country
England